Economics 282
Spring 2001
B. Ferguson
HANDOUT 4: ECONOMIC
MODELS
Definitions:
An economic model is
an abstract simplified mathematical (algebraic and/or graphical) representation
of relationship between economic variables.
An endogenous variable
(dependent variable) is a variable whose value is determined within the
model.
An exogenous variable
(independent variable) is a variable whose value is determined outside
the model.
A parameter shows the
strength of a relationship between two variables. Parameters are usually
assumed to be constant.
Elements
Models are constructed from
assumptions, variables (both types) with or without parameters, and logical
analysis via algebra, calculus and/or graphs.
Assumptions are used to simplify
the vast complexity of economic behavior down to analyzable units; they
limit the scope of analysis. In so doing, they specify which variables
are endogenous and exogenous and which are not even relevant. They may
or may not specify the size or strength of various parameters, depending
on the situation.
Assumptions set the constraints
on and initial conditions of analysis for the model. They are used to
construct logical relations among the model's variables, via equations
and/or graphs. In this context, values of exogenous variables, initially
taken as given, are placed into the model and then it is solved for
the values of the endogenous variables. The exogenous values may then
be changed "experimentally" to see how they influence the endogenous
variables.
Can you think of examples
of models in what you have seen so far in the text?
The experimental adjustment
of exogenous variables is then used to formulate hypotheses for testing
and to make predictions (based on these hypotheses) about the behavior
of specific economic variables.
What do you think about the
strengths and weaknesses of this form of analysis?
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